Saturday’s game that pits the South Alabama Jaguars (13-5, 5-1 Sun Belt) against the Troy Trojans (11-6, 4-2 Sun Belt) at Mitchell Center has a projected final score of 70-67 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of South Alabama, who is a small favorite in this matchup according to our model. Game time is at 4:00 PM ET on January 18.

Based on our computer prediction, Troy is projected to cover the point spread (3.5) versus South Alabama. The two sides are projected to eclipse the 129.5 total.

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South Alabama vs. Troy Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
• Time: 4:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Mobile, Alabama
• Venue: Mitchell Center
• Line: South Alabama -3.5
• Point total: 129.5
• Moneyline (to win): South Alabama -166, Troy +138

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South Alabama vs. Troy Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  South Alabama 70, Troy 67

Spread & Total Prediction for South Alabama vs. Troy

• Pick ATS: Troy (+3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (129.5)

South Alabama has an 11-5-0 record against the spread this season compared to Troy, who is 9-6-0 ATS. The Jaguars have a 6-10-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Trojans have a record of 7-8-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams score 148.6 points per game, 19.1 more points than this matchup’s total. South Alabama is 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall over its last 10 contests, while Troy has gone 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall.

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South Alabama Performance Insights

• The Jaguars average 74.5 points per game (200th in college basketball) while allowing 61.6 per contest (eighth in college basketball). They have a +233 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 12.9 points per game.
• South Alabama records 30.9 rebounds per game (276th in college basketball) compared to the 31.9 of its opponents.
• South Alabama hits 9.8 three-pointers per game (39th in college basketball), 1.3 fewer than its opponents (11.1).
• The Jaguars put up 101.6 points per 100 possessions (67th in college basketball), while allowing 84.0 points per 100 possessions (27th in college basketball).
• South Alabama has committed 5.1 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 8.1 (first in college basketball action) while forcing 13.2 (74th in college basketball).

Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans put up 74.1 points per game (208th in college basketball) while allowing 66.5 per contest (57th in college basketball). They have a +129 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 7.6 points per game.
• Troy comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 6.4 boards. It records 34.5 rebounds per game (90th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 28.1.
• Troy connects on 7.2 three-pointers per game (233rd in college basketball) at a 29.8% rate (333rd in college basketball), compared to the 6.8 its opponents make, shooting 33.0% from beyond the arc.
• Troy loses the turnover battle by 1.1 per game, committing 14.4 (345th in college basketball) while its opponents average 13.3.

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