Thursday’s contest features the Troy Trojans (10-4, 3-0 Sun Belt) and the Texas State Bobcats (8-7, 1-2 Sun Belt) matching up at Trojan Arena (on January 9) at 7:00 PM ET. This matchup, according to our computer prediction, will result in a 73-67 victory for Troy.

According to our computer prediction, Troy is projected to cover the point spread (6.5) against Texas State. The two sides are expected to exceed the 134.5 over/under.

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Troy vs. Texas State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 9, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Troy, Alabama
• Venue: Trojan Arena
• Line: Troy -6.5
• Point total: 134.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -275, Texas State +220

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Troy vs. Texas State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 73, Texas State 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Texas State

• Pick ATS: Troy (-6.5)
• Pick OU: Over (134.5)

Troy has put together an 8-4-0 record against the spread this season, while Texas State is 7-6-0. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Trojans are 5-7-0 and the Bobcats are 7-6-0. The two teams score an average of 149.2 points per game, 14.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 games, Troy is 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall while Texas State has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans average 73.7 points per game (231st in college basketball) while allowing 65.4 per contest (48th in college basketball). They have a +117 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 8.3 points per game.
• Troy wins the rebound battle by 6.7 boards on average. It records 34.6 rebounds per game, which ranks 89th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 27.9 per outing.
• Troy connects on 6.9 three-pointers per game (263rd in college basketball) at a 28.6% rate (347th in college basketball), compared to the 6.6 its opponents make while shooting 32.3% from deep.
• The Trojans record 93 points per 100 possessions (249th in college basketball), while allowing 82.5 points per 100 possessions (25th in college basketball).
• Troy forces 14 turnovers per game (49th in college basketball) while committing 14.7 (346th in college basketball play).

Texas State Performance Insights

• The Bobcats are outscoring opponents by 6.6 points per game, with a +99 scoring differential overall. They put up 75.5 points per game (178th in college basketball) and give up 68.9 per outing (117th in college basketball).
• Texas State is 172nd in the nation at 33.1 rebounds per game. That’s 5.1 more than the 28 its opponents average.
• Texas State makes 5.5 three-pointers per game (351st in college basketball), 1.8 fewer than its opponents. It is shooting 36.9% from beyond the arc (59th in college basketball) and its opponents are shooting 36.3%.
• Texas State forces 11.4 turnovers per game (225th in college basketball) while committing 11.3 (160th in college basketball).

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