Falcons vs. Broncos Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 11

Published 3:36 pm Saturday, November 16, 2024

At Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday, Nov. 17, the Denver Broncos face the Atlanta Falcons, kicking off at 4:05 p.m. ET. The Broncos should be victorious, based on our computer model — continue scrolling to find more tips regarding the point spread, over/under and even the final score.

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The Broncos have the 22nd-ranked offense this season (19.7 points per game), and they’ve been more effective on defense, ranking fourth-best with only 17.7 points allowed per game. The Falcons’ offense has been leading the charge for the team, as they rank fifth-best in the NFL with 375.1 total yards per contest. In terms of defense, they are giving up 352.7 total yards per game, which ranks 24th.

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Falcons vs. Broncos Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Broncos (-2) Under (44.5) Broncos 24, Falcons 19

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Falcons Betting Info

  • The implied probability of a win by the Falcons based on the moneyline is 47.6%.
  • Atlanta is 5-5-0 ATS this year.
  • The Falcons have covered the spread once when an underdog by 2 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
  • Atlanta and its opponent have combined to hit the over four out of 10 times this season.
  • The average total for Falcons games (playoffs included) is 46.5 points, 2.0 more than this game’s over/under.

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Broncos Betting Info

  • The Broncos have an implied moneyline win probability of 56.5% in this matchup.
  • Denver has compiled a 7-3-0 record against the spread this season.
  • When playing as at least 2-point favorites this season, the Broncos have an ATS record of 3-0.
  • Denver games have gone over the point total six out of 10 times this season.
  • The over/under in this game is 44.5 points, 4.7 higher than the average total in Broncos games this season (postseason included).

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Falcons vs. Broncos 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Broncos 19.7 17.7 21.0 17.0 18.8 18.2
Falcons 23.8 23.6 21.7 24.8 27.0 21.8

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