Troy vs. Toledo Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – November 4

Published 7:11 pm Sunday, November 3, 2024

Monday’s contest features the Troy Trojans (0-0) and the Toledo Rockets (0-0) squaring off at Trojan Arena in what is expected to be a close matchup, with a projected 78-75 victory for Troy according to our computer prediction. Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET on November 4.

According to our computer prediction, Toledo is a good bet to cover the spread, which currently sits at 4.5. The two teams are projected to come in below the 153.5 over/under.

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Troy vs. Toledo Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Monday, November 4, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Troy, Alabama
  • Venue: Trojan Arena
  • Line: Troy -4.5
  • Point total: 153.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Troy -188, Toledo +152

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Troy vs. Toledo Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Troy 78, Toledo 75

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Toledo

  • Pick ATS: Toledo (+4.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (153.5)

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Troy Performance Insights

  • Troy scored 79.6 points per game and gave up 70.7 last season, ranking them 43rd in the nation offensively and 130th on defense.
  • With 34.6 rebounds per game and 30.2 rebounds allowed, the Trojans were 61st and 101st in the nation, respectively, last year.
  • Troy was 132nd in the country in assists (13.7 per game) last year.
  • Beyond the arc, the Trojans were 62nd in the country in 3-pointers made per game (8.6) last season. They were 118th in 3-point percentage at 35.1%.
  • Troy was 94th in the nation in 3-pointers allowed (6.7 per game) and 274th in 3-point percentage defensively (35.0%) last year.
  • The Trojans took 40.3% percent of their shots from beyond the arc last season, and 32.1% of their made shots are from there. Inside the arc, they attempted 59.7% of their shots, with 67.9% of their makes coming from there.

Toledo Performance Insights

  • Offensively, Toledo averaged 80.0 points per game (38th-ranked in college basketball) last year. It allowed 76.1 points per contest at the other end (296th-ranked).
  • The Rockets pulled down 30.4 rebounds per game (283rd-ranked in college basketball). They ceded 30.3 rebounds per contest (109th-ranked).
  • Toledo ranked 181st in college basketball with 13.0 assists per contest.
  • Last year the Rockets averaged 10.1 turnovers per game (76th-ranked in college basketball) and forced 12.6 turnovers per contest (73rd-ranked).
  • The Rockets ranked 14th-best in the country with a three-point shooting percentage of 37.7%. They ranked 265th in college basketball by sinking 6.5 treys per contest.
  • With 7.6 treys conceded per game, Toledo ranked 223rd in college basketball. It allowed a 34.2% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranked 229th in college basketball.
  • In terms of shot breakdown, Toledo took 71.4% two-pointers (accounting for 77.5% of the team’s baskets) and 28.6% three-pointers (22.5%).

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