According to our computer model, the Atlanta Falcons will beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers when they square off at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Thursday, Oct. 3 (at 8:15 p.m. ET). We have a complete breakdown, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available in this article.

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The Falcons are putting up 18.8 points per game on offense (22nd in NFL), and they rank 14th on defense with 21.3 points allowed per game. The Buccaneers are compiling 319 total yards per game on offense this season (16th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are allowing 335.3 total yards per game (18th-ranked).

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks

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Falcons Betting Info

• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Falcons a 55.6% chance to win.
• Atlanta has won one game against the spread this season.
• The Falcons have not covered the spread this season (0-2 ATS) when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.
• Atlanta games have hit the over just once this season.
• Falcons games have had an average of 44.3 points this season, 0.3 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Buccaneers Betting Info

• The implied probability of a win by the Buccaneers based on the moneyline is 48.8%.
• Tampa Bay is 3-1-0 ATS this season.
• The Buccaneers have been an underdog by 1.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
• This year, games featuring Tampa Bay have hit the over twice.
• The average total points scored in Buccaneers games this year (44) is 0.1 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers 2024 Scoring Insights

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