Troy vs. Georgia Southern Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 30

Published 3:10 pm Wednesday, January 29, 2025

Thursday’s game that pits the Troy Trojans (13-7, 6-3 Sun Belt) versus the Georgia Southern Eagles (11-10, 4-5 Sun Belt) at Trojan Arena should be a lopsided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 78-66 in favor of Troy, who is heavily favored by our model. Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET on January 30.

According to our computer prediction, Troy is projected to cover the spread (11.5) against Georgia Southern. The two sides are expected to eclipse the 143.5 over/under.

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Troy vs. Georgia Southern Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Thursday, January 30, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Troy, Alabama
  • Venue: Trojan Arena
  • Line: Troy -11.5
  • Point total: 143.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Troy -820, Georgia Southern +550

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Troy vs. Georgia Southern Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Troy 78, Georgia Southern 66

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Georgia Southern

  • Pick ATS: Troy (-11.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (143.5)

Troy has compiled an 11-7-0 record against the spread this season, while Georgia Southern is 8-12-0. The Trojans have a 7-11-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Eagles have a record of 10-10-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams average 147.1 points per game, 3.6 more points than this matchup’s total. Troy has a 6-4 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall over the past 10 games. Georgia Southern has gone 4-6 against the spread and 5-5 overall in its last 10 games.

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Troy Performance Insights

  • The Trojans have a +147 scoring differential, topping opponents by 7.3 points per game. They’re putting up 72.9 points per game to rank 228th in college basketball and are allowing 65.6 per contest to rank 39th in college basketball.
  • The 35 rebounds per game Troy averages rank 57th in the country, and are 6.6 more than the 28.4 its opponents pull down per contest.
  • Troy makes 7.6 three-pointers per game (197th in college basketball) at a 30.1% rate (333rd in college basketball), compared to the 7 its opponents make while shooting 33.1% from deep.
  • The Trojans’ 92.8 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 252nd in college basketball, and the 83.4 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 17th in college basketball.
  • Troy forces 13.5 turnovers per game (53rd in college basketball) while committing 14.4 (345th in college basketball action).

Georgia Southern Performance Insights

  • The Eagles are being outscored by 3.2 points per game, with a -68 scoring differential overall. They put up 74.2 points per game (199th in college basketball), and allow 77.4 per contest (318th in college basketball).
  • Georgia Southern pulls down 32.7 rebounds per game (162nd in college basketball) while allowing 34.9 per outing to opponents. It is outrebounded by 2.2 boards per game.
  • Georgia Southern knocks down 1.3 more threes per contest than the opposition, 9 (73rd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.7.
  • Georgia Southern has committed 13.6 turnovers per game (335th in college basketball) while forcing 13.1 (69th in college basketball).

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