Monday’s game at Dunn-Oliver Acadome has the Alabama State Hornets (8-11, 4-2 SWAC) matching up with the Texas Southern Tigers (8-11, 5-1 SWAC) at 8:30 PM ET (on January 27). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 76-74 win for Alabama State, so it should be a tight matchup.

According to our computer prediction, Texas Southern is projected to cover the spread (2.5) versus Alabama State. The two sides are projected to exceed the 145.5 total.

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Alabama State vs. Texas Southern Game Info & Odds

• Date: Monday, January 27, 2025
• Time: 8:30 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Montgomery, Alabama
• Venue: Dunn-Oliver Acadome
• Line: Alabama State -2.5
• Point total: 145.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama State -144, Texas Southern +118

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Alabama State vs. Texas Southern Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama State 76, Texas Southern 74

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama State vs. Texas Southern

• Pick ATS: Texas Southern (+2.5)
• Pick OU: Over (145.5)

Alabama State has put together a 6-11-0 record against the spread this season, while Texas Southern is 6-10-0. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Hornets are 8-9-0 and the Tigers are 8-8-0. The teams combine to score 148.7 points per game, 3.2 more points than this matchup’s total. In the past 10 contests, Alabama State is 3-7 against the spread and 5-5 overall while Texas Southern has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets’ -37 scoring differential (being outscored by two points per game) is a result of scoring 75.7 points per game (155th in college basketball) while allowing 77.7 per contest (322nd in college basketball).
• Alabama State loses the rebound battle by 4.8 boards on average. It collects 31.4 rebounds per game, which ranks 243rd in college basketball, while its opponents grab 36.2 per outing.
• Alabama State hits 9.2 three-pointers per game (60th in college basketball) at a 33.2% rate (215th in college basketball), compared to the 8.3 its opponents make while shooting 34.4% from beyond the arc.
• The Hornets’ 94.8 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 202nd in college basketball, and the 97.2 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 304th in college basketball.
• Alabama State has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 9.1 per game (eighth in college basketball action) while forcing 11.6 (190th in college basketball).

Texas Southern Performance Insights

• The Tigers have been outscored by 3.9 points per game (posting 73 points per game, 227th in college basketball, while giving up 76.9 per outing, 309th in college basketball) and have a -75 scoring differential.
• Texas Southern is 228th in the nation at 31.7 rebounds per game. That’s 3.9 fewer than the 35.6 its opponents average.
• Texas Southern connects on 6.8 three-pointers per game (275th in college basketball), 3.2 fewer than its opponents. It is shooting 33.1% from deep (221st in college basketball) and its opponents are shooting 35.6%.
• Texas Southern has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 12.8 per game (302nd in college basketball) while forcing 13.9 (41st in college basketball).

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