Saturday’s game between the Troy Trojans (11-7, 4-3 Sun Belt) and South Alabama Jaguars (14-5, 6-1 Sun Belt) squaring off at Trojan Arena has a projected final score of 69-67 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of Troy, so it should be a tight matchup. The game will start at 6:00 PM ET on January 25.

Based on our computer prediction, South Alabama is projected to cover the spread (3.5) against Troy. The two teams are expected to exceed the 130.5 over/under.

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Troy vs. South Alabama Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 25, 2025
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Troy, Alabama
• Venue: Trojan Arena
• Line: Troy -3.5
• Point total: 130.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -168, South Alabama +136

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Troy vs. South Alabama Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 69, South Alabama 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. South Alabama

• Pick ATS: South Alabama (+3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (130.5)

Troy has compiled a 10-6-0 record against the spread this season, while South Alabama is 11-6-0. The Trojans are 7-9-0 and the Jaguars are 6-11-0 in terms of going over the point total. The teams combine to score 147.4 points per game, 16.9 more points than this matchup’s total. Troy has a 6-4 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall in the last 10 contests. South Alabama has gone 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall in its last 10 games.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans are outscoring opponents by 7.1 points per game with a +128 scoring differential overall. They put up 73.5 points per game (217th in college basketball) and allow 66.4 per outing (50th in college basketball).
• Troy wins the rebound battle by an average of 6.6 boards. It is collecting 34.7 rebounds per game (76th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 28.1 per contest.
• Troy connects on 7.3 three-pointers per game (230th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.1. It shoots 29.8% from deep while its opponents hit 33.5% from long range.
• The Trojans rank 232nd in college basketball with 93.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 29th in college basketball defensively with 84.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Troy forces 13.3 turnovers per game (64th in college basketball) while committing 14.3 (345th in college basketball play).

South Alabama Performance Insights

• The Jaguars have a +234 scoring differential, topping opponents by 12.3 points per game. They’re putting up 73.9 points per game, 209th in college basketball, and are giving up 61.6 per contest to rank ninth in college basketball.
• South Alabama grabs 30.8 rebounds per game (278th in college basketball) while conceding 32.3 per outing to opponents. It is outrebounded by 1.5 boards per game.
• South Alabama knocks down 9.9 three-pointers per game (31st in college basketball), 1.1 fewer than its opponents. It is shooting 34.6% from beyond the arc (137th in college basketball) and its opponents are shooting 32.8%.
• South Alabama has won the turnover battle by 4.8 per game, committing 8.4 (first in college basketball) while forcing 13.2 (72nd in college basketball).

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