Saturday’s game that pits the Jackson State Tigers (1-13, 1-0 SWAC) against the Alabama State Hornets (6-9, 2-0 SWAC) at Lee E. Williams Athletic and Assembly Center has a projected final score of 78-73 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Jackson State, who is a small favorite in this matchup according to our model. Tipoff is at 4:30 PM ET on January 11.

Based on our computer prediction, Jackson State should cover the point spread, which is listed at 3.5. The two teams are projected to go over the 145.5 total.

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Jackson State vs. Alabama State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
• Time: 4:30 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Jackson, Mississippi
• Venue: Lee E. Williams Athletic and Assembly Center
• Line: Jackson State -3.5
• Point total: 145.5
• Moneyline (to win): Jackson State -184, Alabama State +148

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Jackson State vs. Alabama State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Jackson State 78, Alabama State 73

Spread & Total Prediction for Jackson State vs. Alabama State

• Pick ATS: Jackson State (-3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (145.5)

Jackson State’s record against the spread so far this season is 7-7-0, and Alabama State’s is 6-7-0. The Tigers are 5-9-0 and the Hornets are 7-6-0 in terms of hitting the over. The teams average 139.8 points per game combined, 5.7 fewer than this matchup’s over/under. Over the last 10 contests, Jackson State is 5-5 against the spread and 1-9 overall while Alabama State has gone 4-6 against the spread and 3-7 overall.

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Jackson State Performance Insights

• The Tigers are being outscored by 20.4 points per game with a -285 scoring differential overall. They put up 61.9 points per game (359th in college basketball) and give up 82.3 per outing (356th in college basketball).
• Jackson State is 285th in the country at 30.9 rebounds per game. That’s 7.1 fewer than the 38.0 its opponents average.
• Jackson State hits 6.3 three-pointers per game (312th in college basketball), 4.3 fewer than its opponents (10.6).
• The Tigers average 76.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (361st in college basketball), and give up 101.4 points per 100 possessions (351st in college basketball).
• Jackson State has lost the turnover battle by 1.7 turnovers per game, committing 14.5 (345th in college basketball play) while forcing 12.8 (119th in college basketball).

Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets have a -35 scoring differential, falling short by 2.4 points per game. They’re putting up 77.9 points per game, 112th in college basketball, and are giving up 80.3 per outing to rank 343rd in college basketball.
• Alabama State loses the rebound battle by 6.6 boards on average. It records 30.3 rebounds per game, 302nd in college basketball, while its opponents grab 36.9.
• Alabama State connects on 9.8 three-pointers per game (40th in college basketball), 1.3 more than its opponents. It shoots 34.8% from deep (131st in college basketball), and its opponents are shooting 35.0%.
• Alabama State has committed 2.6 fewer turnovers than its opponents, averaging 9.1 (ninth in college basketball) while forcing 11.7 (206th in college basketball).

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