Monday’s contest that pits the Alabama State Hornets (5-9, 1-0 SWAC) against the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (3-11, 0-1 SWAC) at Dunn-Oliver Acadome has a good chance to be a one-sided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 87-74 in favor of Alabama State, who is heavily favored by our model. Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET on January 6.

Based on our computer prediction, UAPB projects to cover the 15.5-point spread in its matchup against Alabama State. The over/under is currently listed at 163.5, and the two sides are projected to come in below that total.

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Alabama State vs. UAPB Game Info & Odds

• Date: Monday, January 6, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Montgomery, Alabama
• Venue: Dunn-Oliver Acadome
• Line: Alabama State -15.5
• Point total: 163.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama State -1695, UAPB +890

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Alabama State vs. UAPB Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama State 87, UAPB 74

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama State vs. UAPB

• Pick ATS: UAPB (+15.5)
• Pick OU: Under (163.5)

Alabama State’s record against the spread this season is 6-6-0, while UAPB’s is 5-7-0. The Hornets have a 6-6-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Golden Lions have a record of 9-3-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams put up 151.9 points per game combined, 11.6 fewer than this matchup’s total. Alabama State is 4-6 against the spread and 3-7 overall over its past 10 games, while UAPB has gone 4-6 against the spread and 1-9 overall.

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Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets have a -37 scoring differential, falling short by 2.6 points per game. They’re putting up 76.9 points per game to rank 143rd in college basketball and are giving up 79.5 per outing to rank 339th in college basketball.
• Alabama State ranks 295th in college basketball at 30.6 rebounds per game. That’s 6.8 fewer than the 37.4 its opponents average.
• Alabama State connects on 1.5 more threes per contest than the opposition, 9.6 (47th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.1.
• The Hornets record 94.9 points per 100 possessions (212th in college basketball), while giving up 98.1 points per 100 possessions (323rd in college basketball).
• Alabama State has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 9.1 per game (11th in college basketball action) while forcing 11.6 (206th in college basketball).

UAPB Performance Insights

• The Golden Lions have been outscored by 17.6 points per game (posting 75 points per game, 195th in college basketball, while allowing 92.6 per outing, 364th in college basketball) and have a -247 scoring differential.
• UAPB loses the rebound battle by 6.4 boards on average. It collects 29.6 rebounds per game, 321st in college basketball, while its opponents grab 36.
• UAPB hits 7.9 three-pointers per game (177th in college basketball), 2.7 fewer than its opponents. It is shooting 32.8% from beyond the arc (230th in college basketball) and its opponents are shooting 35.2%.
• UAPB has committed 4.4 more turnovers than its opponents, averaging 15.9 (359th in college basketball) while forcing 11.5 (219th in college basketball).

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