Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 4
Published 11:08 pm Friday, January 3, 2025
Saturday’s game between the Alabama State Hornets (4-9, 0-0 SWAC) and the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (2-11, 0-0 SWAC) at Dunn-Oliver Acadome has a good chance to be a one-sided matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 79-67 and heavily favors Alabama State to take home the win. Game time is at 4:00 PM ET on January 4.
Based on our computer prediction, Mississippi Valley State should cover the spread, which is currently listed at 22.5. The two teams are projected to eclipse the 140.5 over/under.
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Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Game Info & Odds
- Date: Saturday, January 4, 2025
- Time: 4:00 PM ET
- TV: SWAC Digital Network
- Where: Montgomery, Alabama
- Venue: Dunn-Oliver Acadome
- Line: Alabama State -22.5
- Point total: 140.5
- Moneyline (to win): Alabama State -10000, Mississippi Valley State +2200
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Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Alabama State 79, Mississippi Valley State 67
Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State
- Pick ATS: Mississippi Valley State (+22.5)
- Pick OU: Over (140.5)
Alabama State has put together a 5-6-0 record against the spread this season, while Mississippi Valley State is 3-8-0. Both the Hornets and the Delta Devils are 6-5-0 in terms of going over the point total in their games this season. The two teams put up 127.5 points per game combined, 13.0 less than this matchup’s over/under. In the last 10 contests, Alabama State has a 4-6 record against the spread while going 3-7 overall. Mississippi Valley State has gone 2-8 against the spread and 0-10 overall in its last 10 matches.
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Alabama State Performance Insights
- The Hornets’ -66 scoring differential (being outscored by 5.1 points per game) is a result of scoring 76.3 points per game (161st in college basketball) while allowing 81.4 per contest (348th in college basketball).
- The 30.7 rebounds per game Alabama State averages rank 296th in college basketball, and are 7.6 fewer than the 38.3 its opponents pull down per contest.
- Alabama State makes 9.8 three-pointers per game (42nd in college basketball) at a 33.8% rate (188th in college basketball), compared to the 8.5 per game its opponents make at a 34.9% rate.
- The Hornets rank 238th in college basketball by averaging 93.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 345th in college basketball, allowing 100.0 points per 100 possessions.
- Alabama State has won the turnover battle by 2.2 turnovers per game, committing 9.2 (16th in college basketball action) while forcing 11.4 (224th in college basketball).
Mississippi Valley State Performance Insights
- The Delta Devils are being outscored by 34.5 points per game, with a -449 scoring differential overall. They put up 51.2 points per game (364th in college basketball), and give up 85.7 per outing (360th in college basketball).
- Mississippi Valley State records 23.8 rebounds per game (363rd in college basketball) while conceding 33.8 per contest to opponents. It is outrebounded by 10.0 boards per game.
- Mississippi Valley State connects on 3.8 three-pointers per game (364th in college basketball), 6.0 fewer than its opponents. It is shooting 27.1% from deep (359th in college basketball) and its opponents are shooting 36.5%.
- Mississippi Valley State has come up short in the turnover battle by 6.0 per game, committing 15.8 (359th in college basketball) while forcing 9.8 (332nd in college basketball).
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