Southeast Division opponents square off when the Atlanta Hawks (16-15) host the Miami Heat (15-13) at State Farm Arena, beginning at 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, December 28, 2024. The Heat are 2.5-point underdogs in the game, the first matchup between the squads this season.

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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024
• Time: 3:00 PM ET
• How to watch on TV: NBA TV, FDSSE, and FDSSUN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Venue: State Farm Arena

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Hawks vs. Heat Score Prediction

• Prediction: –
  Heat 115 – Hawks 114

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Spread & Total Prediction for Hawks vs. Heat

• Pick ATS: Heat (+ 2.5)
• Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-0.5)
• Pick OU:

  Over (225.5)
  

• Computer Predicted Total: 228.3

• The Heat sport a 14-14-0 ATS record this season as opposed to the 13-18-0 mark of the Hawks.
• Atlanta (3-10) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 2.5 points or more this season (23.1%) than Miami (4-4) does as a 2.5+-point underdog (50%).
• When it comes to eclipsing the over/under in 2024-25, Atlanta does it better (64.5% of the time) than Miami (53.6%).
• As a moneyline favorite this year, the Hawks are 7-7, while the Heat are 4-7 as moneyline underdogs.

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Hawks Performance Insights

• The Hawks rank seventh in the NBA with 117.2 points per contest, but their defense has lagged behind, ceding 119.5 points per game (fourth-worst in league).
• Atlanta is allowing 44 rebounds per game this season (16th-ranked in NBA), but it has provided a lift by averaging 46 rebounds per contest (fourth-best).
• The Hawks have been tallying plenty of assists in 2024-25, ranking third-best in the NBA with 29.7 dimes per contest.
• Although Atlanta is committing 15.8 turnovers per game (fourth-worst in NBA), it ranks fifth-best in the league by forcing 15.9 turnovers per contest.
• With 12.6 treys per game, the Hawks are 19th in the NBA. They have a 35.1% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 18th in the league.

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Heat Performance Insights

• The Heat are 18th in the league in points scored (111.3 per game) and sixth in points allowed (108.6).
• In 2024-25, Miami is 19th in the NBA in rebounds (43.3 per game) and 24th in rebounds allowed (45.2).
• The Heat are 14th in the league in assists (25.6 per game) in 2024-25.
• In 2024-25, Miami is fifth-best in the league in turnovers committed (12.5 per game) and ranked 10th in turnovers forced (14.4).
• In 2024-25, the Heat are ninth in the NBA in 3-point makes (14.6 per game) and sixth in 3-point percentage (37.8%).

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