Based on our computer model, the Washington Commanders will beat the Atlanta Falcons when they play at Commanders Field on Sunday, Dec. 29 (at 8:20 p.m. ET). We have a complete breakdown, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available below.

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The Commanders rank 10th in total defense this year (322.9 yards allowed per game), but they’ve been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking fifth-best in the NFL with 373.5 total yards per game. With 360.9 total yards per game on offense, the Falcons rank ninth in the NFL in 2024. On defense, they rank 16th, giving up 335.3 total yards per contest.

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Falcons vs. Commanders Predictions and Picks

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Falcons Betting Info

• The Falcons have a 39.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Atlanta is 6-8-1 ATS this season.
• The Falcons have been an underdog by 3.5 points or more two times this year, and covered the spread in one of those games.
• So far this year, five of Atlanta’s 15 games with a set number have gone over the point total.
• Games involving the Falcons this year have averaged 46 points per game, a 0.5-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Commanders Betting Info

• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Commanders a 65.5% chance to win.
• Washington has covered the spread nine times in 15 games this season.
• When playing as at least 3.5-point favorites this season, the Commanders have an ATS record of 3-2.
• So far this season, 10 of Washington’s 15 games have gone over the point total.
• Commanders games this season have posted an average total of 46.1, which is 0.4 points fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Falcons vs. Commanders 2024 Scoring Insights

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