Tuesday’s game features the SMU Mustangs (6-2) and the Alabama State Hornets (3-4) facing off at Moody Coliseum in what is expected to be a lopsided matchup, with a projected 86-70 win for heavily favored SMU according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 8:00 PM ET on December 3.

According to our computer prediction, Alabama State is projected to cover the point spread (19.5) versus SMU. The two teams are projected to fall short of the 156.5 over/under.

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SMU vs. Alabama State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Tuesday, December 3, 2024
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• TV: ACC Network Extra
• Where: Dallas, Texas
• Venue: Moody Coliseum
• Line: SMU -19.5
• Point total: 156.5
• Moneyline (to win): SMU -5000, Alabama State +1500

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SMU vs. Alabama State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  SMU 86, Alabama State 70

Spread & Total Prediction for SMU vs. Alabama State

• Pick ATS: Alabama State (+19.5)
• Pick OU: Under (156.5)

SMU is 3-5-0 against the spread this season compared to Alabama State’s 3-2-0 ATS record. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Mustangs are 6-2-0 and the Hornets are 3-2-0. The two teams average 165.9 points per game, 9.4 more points than this matchup’s total.

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SMU Performance Insights

• The Mustangs’ +120 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 15.0 points per game) is a result of scoring 86.8 points per game (19th in college basketball) while giving up 71.8 per outing (198th in college basketball).
• SMU wins the rebound battle by 9.5 boards on average. It collects 37.4 rebounds per game, which ranks 42nd in college basketball, while its opponents grab 27.9 per outing.
• SMU hits 8.1 three-pointers per game (158th in college basketball) at a 38.0% rate (50th in college basketball), compared to the 8.3 its opponents make while shooting 34.0% from deep.
• The Mustangs rank 43rd in college basketball with 104.8 points scored per 100 possessions, and 116th in college basketball defensively with 86.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• SMU has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 11.4 per game (167th in college basketball action) while forcing 12.9 (137th in college basketball).

Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets put up 79.1 points per game (120th in college basketball) while allowing 78.1 per outing (319th in college basketball). They have a +7 scoring differential.
• Alabama State loses the rebound battle by an average of 5.3 boards. It pulls down 31.4 rebounds per game (261st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 36.7.
• Alabama State hits 9.4 three-pointers per game (70th in college basketball) at a 34.4% rate (159th in college basketball), compared to the 8.4 its opponents make, shooting 33.9% from beyond the arc.
• Alabama State has won the turnover battle by 1.9 per game, committing 9.7 (45th in college basketball) while forcing 11.6 (224th in college basketball).

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