Falcons vs. Saints Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 4

Published 3:36 pm Saturday, September 28, 2024

On Sunday, Sept. 29 at 1:00 p.m. ET, the Atlanta Falcons will play the New Orleans Saints at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Our computer model projects a victory for the Saints — see below for a complete breakdown, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

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The Falcons are compiling 16.3 points per game on offense (26th in NFL), and they rank 13th defensively with 20.3 points allowed per game. In terms of total offense, the Saints rank ninth in the NFL (343.3 total yards per game) and 21st on defense (335.3 total yards allowed per game).

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Falcons vs. Saints Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Saints (+3) Over (41) Saints 22, Falcons 21

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Falcons Betting Info

  • The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Falcons a 60.8% chance to win.
  • Atlanta has won one game against the spread this season.
  • The Falcons have not covered the spread when favored by 3 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
  • Atlanta and its opponent have not hit the over yet this season.
  • The total for this game is 41, 4.2 points fewer than the average total in Falcons games thus far this season.

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Saints Betting Info

  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 43.5% chance of a victory for the Saints.
  • New Orleans has a record of 2-1-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Saints have been an underdog by 3 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
  • This season, games featuring New Orleans have hit the over twice.
  • The average total for Saints games is 46 points, five more than this game’s over/under.

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Falcons vs. Saints 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Falcons 16.3 20.3 13.5 20 22 21
Saints 34.3 14.7 29.5 12.5 44 19

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