On Sunday, Sept. 22 at 8:20 p.m. ET, the Kansas City Chiefs will face the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Our computer model projects a win for the Falcons — keep scrolling for a complete breakdown, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

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The Chiefs have the 15th-ranked offense this year (319.5 yards per game), and they’ve been less effective on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-worst with 386 yards allowed per game. With 305.5 total yards per game on offense, the Falcons rank 19th in the NFL in 2024. Defensively, they rank 17th, surrendering 317.5 total yards per game.

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Falcons vs. Chiefs Predictions and Picks

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Falcons Betting Info

• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 41.7% chance of a victory for the Falcons.
• Atlanta has won one game against the spread this year.
• The Falcons have covered the spread when playing as at least 3-point underdogs in their only opportunity this season.
• So far this season, no Atlanta game has hit the over.
• Games involving the Falcons this year have averaged 44.5 points per game, a two-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Chiefs Betting Info

• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Chiefs a 62.3% chance to win.
• Kansas City has a record of 1-1-0 against the spread this season.
• The Chiefs have covered the spread once when favored by 3 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
• So far this season, two Kansas City games have hit the over.
• Chiefs games average 47 total points per game this season, 0.5 more than the over/under for this matchup.

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Falcons vs. Chiefs 2024 Scoring Insights

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