Falcons vs. Steelers Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 1

Published 3:36 pm Saturday, September 7, 2024

A win by the Pittsburgh Steelers over the Atlanta Falcons is our computer model projection for these teams’ upcoming matchup, on Sunday, Sept. 8 at 1:00 p.m. ET (at Mercedes-Benz Stadium). For a full breakdown, regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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Offensively, the Falcons ranked 17th in the NFL with 334.3 yards per game last season. Meanwhile, they ranked 11th in total defense (321.1 yards allowed per contest). The Steelers compiled 17.9 points per game on offense last season (27th in NFL), and they ranked sixth on the other side of the ball with 19.1 points allowed per game.

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Falcons vs. Steelers Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Steelers (+3.5) Under (41.5) Steelers 22, Falcons 17

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Falcons Betting Info

  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Falcons have an implied win probability of 65.5%.
  • Atlanta covered five times in 17 games with a spread last season.
  • The Falcons were favored by 3.5 points or more two times last season, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
  • Last season, seven Atlanta games went over the point total.
  • The over/under in this game is 41.5 points, 1.4 higher than the average total in Falcons games last season.

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Steelers Betting Info

  • The implied probability of a win by the Steelers, based on the moneyline, is 39.2%.
  • Pittsburgh covered 10 times in 17 matchups with a spread last year.
  • The Steelers were 3-0 ATS last season when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
  • Last season, six Pittsburgh games hit the over.
  • The over/under for this game is 2.7 points higher than the average scoring total for Steelers games last season (38.8).

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Falcons vs. Steelers 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Falcons 18.9 21.9 24 20.3 14.3 23.4
Steelers 17.9 19.1 18.3 19.2 17.4 18.9

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